Conspiratorial thinking is a warning sign that you're not thinking clearly. The larger a conspiracy is in terms of the number of information elements, the less likely it is to be real.
It follows an inverse squared law. Reality = 1 / n²
This is where you will see the difference between scientist and ufologists. Science will change it's mind the moment there is credible (any) evidence. It wants to be proven wrong.
Ufologists will not change their minds, they will double down and double down again. Every time they will double down to avoid being wrong with the hope, this time ufo's will be real.
They never are and because it costs nothing but denial, they can double down to infinity. They will always think they are right because nobody can prove them wrong.
Argument from ignorance fallacy.
If you succeed in fooling people, their reports will at first be mild and you can easily understand how they could mistake what they saw.
But then when isolated groups of people who saw the same thing report to each other, that's when things really get exciting and the claims really are out of this world
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